Page 31 - MOH Supply and Needs-Based Requirement Hyperlink 02032021

23 EXTENDED EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.4.1 The Supply Model

The system dynamics approach has been applied to develop the supply model. The
supply models for all the five selected professions have a common model structure. It
consists of three (3) sub-models; Training, Population and FTE as illustrated in Figure 9.

Figure 9: HRH Training Sub - Model

Training Sub-Model Population Sub-Model Full Time Equivalent
Sub-Model

Output:
Graduates who Output: Output:
Total full time
completed training/ Population head equivalent HRH
pass licensing exam count

The following Figure 10, Figure 11, Figure 12 and Figure 13 show the SD-based training,
population and FTE sub-models of the Doctor Supply Model developed in this study to
project the supply of doctors.

Figure 10: Doctor Supply Model (Training Sub-Model)

Extend student
Study year dropout rate
transition
Extend dropout
Extend Rate

Extend
student
Extend Extend
Medical Stuednts by Year graduates
Medical student
intake (local)
Graduates (local) Graduates
(local) SUM
intake number
Medical student
dropout number

Drop rate by
year

SUPPLY AND NEEDS-BASED REQUIREMENT PROJECTIONS OF MALAYSIAN HUMAN
RESOURCES FOR HEALTH USING SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH 2016 - 2030