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Figure 28: Actual and Projected Supply of Assistant Medical Officers, 2015 - 2030

3.5.2 AMO Requirement Projection

It is also crucial to identify the requirement of AMO based on population health care
needs. Health care demand is a reflection of population health-seeking behaviour, which
is translated into the utilisation of healthcare services. Based on available data on health
care utilisation, analysis based on adjusted needs was carried out to project the health
care demand for AMO services. Figure 29 shows the Projection of AMO supply and AMO
Requirement based on Need and Demand.

The number required to fulfil Need in 2016 is 27,262 and sees 26% increase in 14 years.
Comparatively, the requirement for Demand is 23,022 and 28,203 in 2016 and 2030
respectively (23% increase). The difference in requirement between Need and Demand of
AMOs seen in 2030 is 6,202.

SUPPLY AND NEEDS-BASED REQUIREMENT PROJECTIONS OF MALAYSIAN HUMAN
RESOURCES FOR HEALTH USING SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH 2016 - 2030