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37   EXTENDED EXECUTIVE SUMMARY



                 Table 13 and  Table 14 show data source by model parameter and profession after a thorough
                 data validation  process. The data validation process is vital to sift through various data obtained
                 from multiple sources as mentioned. During this process, stakeholder was consulted to
                 assist in identifying the most suitable data to be used in the supply and requirement model.

                 If data is unavailable, inputs from expert opinions were used where Delphi method was applied
                 in this study to obtain experts’ opinion and consensus on the unavailable data. Following the
                 Delphi method, engagement with clinical specialists, consultants, experienced health care
                 professionals from relevant disciplines and sub-specialities was carried out in one-to-one
                 sessions to obtain relevant data e.g. levels of service, including time and frequency for services
                 offered. The one-to-one sessions with clinical specialists and consultants also facilitated
                 improvements in the data collection template. For example, the pathology service data
                 collection template was improved by input gained from the initial two sessions with pathologists
                 from Hospital Kuala Lumpur. The improvised template enabled data collection for relevant
                 diagnostic tests and tests for differential diagnosis, which may have been missed otherwise.

                 Subsequently, head of services, who were mostly consultants with sub-speciality training,
                 convened to vet through the initial input data obtained through one-on-one engagement.
                 This enabled discussions among consultants from various disciplines or sub-speciality to verify
                 concerns where necessary and ultimately achieved consensus on the data that should be used.


                            Table 13: Main Data Source by Parameter and Profession in Supply Model




                    Supply                                  Main Data Source
                    Models
                  Parameter       Doctors          Dentists      Pharmacists       Nurses         AMOs
                  Student     Number of Newly Employed HRH: Human              Number          Number
                  Intake      Resource Division MOH                            of Newly        of Newly
                  (Local)                                                      Registered:     Regis-tered:
                                                                               Malaysian       Medical
                                                                               Nursing Board   Assistant
                                                                                               Board (MAB)
                  Student     Expert Opinion from Boards / Councils and local university representative
                  Dropout
                  Rate
                  Foreign-    Number of newly employed foreign trained         Number of
                  trained     graduate: Human Resource Division MOH            newly registered
                  Graduates                                                    nurses overseas
                                                                               graduate:
                                                                               Malaysian
                                                                               Nursing Board
                  Existing    Number of HRH (total): Health Informatics Centre (2008-2017)
                  Stock       Number of HRH (by age, gender): Councils / Boards
                  Attrition   Resignation Rate: Human Resource Division MOH    Resignation     Death Rate:
                  Rate        Death Rate: DOSM                                 Rate: Malaysian  DOSM
                              Retirement Rate: Expert Opinion                  Nursing Board   Retirement
                                                                               Death Rate:     Rate: Expert
                                                                               DOSM            Opinion
                                                                               Retirement
                                                                               Rate: Expert
                                                                               Opinion
                  Percentage  Number of HRH in direct patient care: Staffing and distribution of staffs by facilities,
                  of Direct   state (MOH Human Resource Division, 2014)
                  Patient
                  Care HRH
                  Pregnancy   Number of HRH on study leave: Training Management Division MOH
                  of HRH on
                  study leave



                  SUPPLY AND NEEDS-BASED REQUIREMENT PROJECTIONS OF MALAYSIAN HUMAN
                  RESOURCES FOR HEALTH USING SYSTEM DYNAMICS APPROACH 2016 - 2030
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